Children in 2024 might encounter heightened exposure to violence, economic challenges, and environmental threats, according to UN children’s agency (UNICEF) flagship study.
UNICEF’s latest report, Prospects for Children 2024: Cooperation in a Fragmented World sheds light on the anticipated challenges that children worldwide may confront in the coming year. From heightened exposure to violence to economic uncertainties, the report examines the multifaceted risks and proposes strategies to mitigate harm.
GEOPOLITICAL LANDSCAPE: SHIFTING POWERS AND COOPERATION
Major Powers’ Competition: Global powers are expected to intensify their competition for military, political, economic, and technological influence. The report notes potential threats to children’s survival and well-being but sees promise in avenues for accountability and cooperation.
Multi-Aligned Movement: Small and middle powers, especially in the Global South, are forging new alliances in an emerging ‘multi-aligned movement.’
As power diffuses, a collaborative approach to global issues may develop, offering hope for inclusive problem-solving.
POTENTIAL RISKS IN 2024: A VOLATILE LANDSCAPE
Armed Conflicts and Cyber attacks: The report highlights potential risks, including armed conflicts, cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns, and clashes influenced by climate change. Children may face increased exposure to violence and conflict-related rights violations.
Economic Fragmentation: Geopolitical interests may drive economic fragmentation, widening disparities between nations. Disruptions in global economic integration could jeopardize progress and innovation, posing fiscal pressures amid rising child poverty.
ECONOMIC IMPACT: FRAGMENTATION, DISPARITIES, AND CHILD POVERTY
Widening Disparities: Economic fragmentation, driven by geopolitical interests, is projected to widen global disparities in 2024, threatening prosperity and progress. Child poverty is rising, exacerbated by fiscal pressure and disruptions in international trade.
Trade Disruptions: International trade, especially in food markets, is showing signs of fragmentation. Export restrictions impact nutrition security, child development, and pose risks to newborns in low- and middle-income countries.
DEMOCRATIC TRENDS: DISINFORMATION, POLITICAL VIOLENCE, AND YOUTH ENGAGEMENT
Digital Disinformation: Advances in technology, particularly AI, contribute to dangerous disinformation capabilities. Political violence has increased even in established democracies, impacting youth engagement. Children navigating uncertain times may be vulnerable to misinformation.
Shifts in Alliances: Alignments among nations have shifted, with implications for children. While alliances can advance global issues, they may strain resources in smaller countries. Reform efforts in international financial institutions are critical for addressing structural inequities.
GREEN ENERGY TRANSITION: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR CHILDREN
Demand for Skilled Labour: The transition to green energy creates opportunities for skilled labour but poses risks, especially in mining operations. Developing countries may struggle with an inclusive transition, impacting children’s rights, welfare, and prospects.
Climate-Related Health Risks: Mosquito-borne diseases and water scarcity, intensified by climate change, pose major health risks for children. International cooperation is crucial to address climate-related health and nutrition challenges.
DIGITAL ENVIRONMENT: AI OPPORTUNITIES AND REGULATORY CHALLENGES
AI Opportunities: AI brings opportunities for children’s learning and development. Striking a regulatory balance is crucial to address the risks of disruptive technology, with children interacting with AI in various ways.
Regulatory Priorities: Heightened awareness of technology’s downsides prompts proactive and rapid regulatory approaches. Child-centred regulation is essential to shield young technology users from negative impacts while allowing online opportunities and engagement.
NAVIGATING COMPLEX TERRAIN FOR CHILD WELL-BEING
As 2024 unfolds, children face a complex landscape shaped by geopolitical shifts, economic uncertainties, and technological advancements. UNICEF’s report calls for international cooperation, inclusive green energy transitions, and child-centred regulation to navigate the challenges and foster a world that prioritizes the well-being and rights of every child
